The following is the Hazardous Weather Outlook for this afternoon. I personally have not seen an outlook so strongly worded. The Storm Prediction Center had put Northeast Kansas under “High” risk for Severe Weather… which means that they expect a major outbreak of severe thunderstorms.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS 1228 PM CDT THU APR 6 2006 KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-071730- REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY- POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS- WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON- 1228 PM CDT THU APR 6 2006 ...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A DRYLINE IN CENTRAL KANSAS BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM. ADDITIONALLY A FEW DISCRETE STORMS COULD DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AS LARGE AS 2 TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...STRONG WINDS 60 TO 80 MPH AND TORNADOES. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER EAST CENTRAL AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HAIL. MORE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR AT LEAST PART OF THE AREA FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ACTIVATION IS IMMINENT. PREPARATIONS SHOULD MADE NOW FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. $$ WOLTERS
In addition, the SPC put us on the right hand side of a PDS Tornado Watch. Here’s what they had to say:
SEL4 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 154 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1245 PM CDT THU APR 6 2006 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1245 PM UNTIL 900 PM CDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER... THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF COLUMBUS NEBRASKA TO 60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WICHITA KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 153... DISCUSSION...RAPID DESTABILIZATION IS OCCURRING ACROSS CENTRAL KS WHERE STRONG SURFACE HEATING AND MOISTURE ADVECTION IS ONGOING. THE CAP IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING ACROSS THIS AREA...AND STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ARE UNDERWAY ACROSS CENTRAL KS...DOWNSTREAM FROM A STRONG MID LEVEL WAVE APPROACHING THIS AREA FROM THE W. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH BOTH DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MORE DISCRETE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A FEW STRONG TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL...WHILE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE LIKELY WITH ALL OF THE CONVECTION. ADDITIONALLY...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL EXTEND WELL N INTO NEB WHERE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE FOCUSED NEAR A SURFACE LOW AND SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045. ...THOMPSON